To have a “moderate” income in retirement I need a million-pound pension pot

Mouthy Money editor Edmund Greaves considers whether he’s saving enough given he will likely need £1 million in his pension for a moderate retirement income.

If I had to consider the biggest question facing my pension, what would it be?

Is it invested right? Am I contributing enough? Should I consolidate my pots?

These are all reasonable questions.

But no, the biggest question I have for my pension is ultimately – will it be enough? And how do I even work out what enough is?

Fortunately, the Pensions and Lifetime Savings Association (PLSA) has answers. So let’s go on a pension savings journey.

Age is just a number

I am 36 years old. I work a desk job, so assuming my brain (and fingers) hold up I could have a career that spans another 30 years easily.

Now, I started work in 2012, but I only opened my first pension in 2016. In the intervening period, I’ve accrued just over £34,000 into my overall pot.

Finding this number actually surprised me, I had thought it would be lower (especially considering this year’s market shenanigans).

So back to my question – is that enough? Turns out I might need that pension to be worth just under £1 million to retire on. Uh oh.

Retirement living standards

The PLSA compiles generalised figures for what it constitutes as either minimum, moderate or comfortable retirement income standards.

It released the latest iteration this week.

For the purposes of this thought experiment, let’s go for the middle ground option here. For what the PLSA calls a moderate retirement in 2025 I would need to be able to generate around £32,000 in income each year. This excludes housing costs and assumes you own your home without a mortgage (I do, fortunately for me).

If you include the full state pension at just shy of £12,000 a year then your pension would have to generate around £20,000 a year in income.

To do this you would need a pot of around £510,000 (based on drawing down 3.5%) a year – in today’s money.

This is well and good, but these are figures for someone retiring TODAY.

So what about me, in 30 years?

To save you the complicated further sums, I’ve worked out I’ll need a pension of just over £925,000 just to achieve a moderate income of £58,000 (assuming 30 years of average 2% inflation) in 2065.

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Confounding factors

There are some confounding factors here to be aware of:

• Being married reduces the per-person income requirements. I am fortunately married and my wife is younger than me by three years so hopefully that persists as it would make the target pot size smaller.
• State pension will likely not kick in for me until I turn 70 which means I have to front load some of my income depending on when I retire.
• I’ve assumed the state pension will still even exist (lol).
• I haven’t accounted for things like tax-free lump sum.
• Nor have I accounted for future tax changes.
• I’ve made a bunch of general assumptions about inflation that might prove optimistic (too low) in time.
• I haven’t accounted for my other assets which might generate a future income or windfall, such as my home or my Lifetime ISA.

Before things get boring the point here is that pensions are very complicated.

This is what I chatted to Clare Moffat about on this week’s podcast. I asked Clare to share the most common pension questions she gets in her work as a tax and pensions expert at mutual insurer Royal London.

In short, people are grappling with even the most basic aspects of their pension – before we get into the mad stuff like Money Purchase Annual Allowance (MPAA) and all that jazz.

I’ve never finished a conversation feeling more like I needed some actual financial advice to make it happen.

But I still haven’t answered my original question – is it enough?

To hit that fabled £925,000 pot – I’d need my current contributions and pot to return just under 9% per year. That’s pretty ambitious. Or is it?

I’m mostly invested in global index trackers – including Fidelity Index World. This fund has returned 8.81% over five years.

Including investing charges and pension pot charges I’m likely to fall a bit short. But boy, it is closer than I thought it might be.

Photo credits: Pexels